{"id":1421,"date":"2023-06-06T21:26:23","date_gmt":"2023-06-06T21:26:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/?p=1421"},"modified":"2023-06-06T23:02:27","modified_gmt":"2023-06-06T23:02:27","slug":"the-ai-industry-should-learn-from-nuclear-safety-argue-researchers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/pt\/2023\/06\/the-ai-industry-should-learn-from-nuclear-safety-argue-researchers\/","title":{"rendered":"A ind\u00fastria da IA deve aprender com a seguran\u00e7a nuclear, defendem os peritos"},"content":{"rendered":"

O desenvolvimento da IA tem sido r\u00e1pido, o que significa que a regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o tem de recuperar o atraso e que a governa\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9, de certa forma, uma reflex\u00e3o tardia. <\/b><\/p>\n

Existem poucos processos formais para garantir a seguran\u00e7a da IA, e os investigadores dizem que cabe \u00e0 ind\u00fastria mudar essa situa\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

Muitos l\u00edderes e figuras do sector da IA compararam a IA \u00e0 energia nuclear. As semelhan\u00e7as s\u00e3o muitas - <\/span>A IA est\u00e1 a crescer rapidamente, representa um risco potencialmente existencial e \u00e9 complicada pelos assuntos externos, desta vez entre as superpot\u00eancias emergentes da IA, os EUA e a China.<\/p>\n

Passaram d\u00e9cadas at\u00e9 que os engenheiros nucleares convencessem a comunidade cient\u00edfica em geral da seguran\u00e7a dos reactores nucleares. Os primeiros reactores foram constru\u00eddos no final dos anos 40 e in\u00edcio dos anos 50, e s\u00f3 com a Lei da Energia At\u00f3mica dos EUA de 1954 \u00e9 que surgiu algum n\u00edvel de regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

O governo dos EUA estava ciente dos riscos da energia nuclear, mas a URSS p\u00f4s em funcionamento o seu primeiro reator c\u00edvico em meados de 1954, pelo que n\u00e3o perdeu tempo a construir o seu pr\u00f3prio reator. Em 1955, o comiss\u00e1rio Willard F. Libby afirmou: \"O nosso grande risco \u00e9 que este grande benef\u00edcio para a humanidade seja morto de manh\u00e3 por regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o desnecess\u00e1ria\".<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u00e1 aqui alguma coisa que lhe pare\u00e7a familiar? S\u00f3 no m\u00eas passado \u00e9 que o diretor executivo da OpenAI, Sam Altman instou a cria\u00e7\u00e3o de um organismo internacional<\/a> para a seguran\u00e7a da IA, como a Ag\u00eancia Internacional da Energia At\u00f3mica (AIEA), fundada em 1957. Tal como a energia nuclear, a g<\/span>s governos de todo o mundo est\u00e3o a tentar preservar os benef\u00edcios da IA e, ao mesmo tempo, regular os riscos.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

A AIEA era uma componente aut\u00f3noma da ONU e tem atualmente 174 pa\u00edses membros. Depois de 1957, registaram-se relativamente poucos desastres nucleares at\u00e9 Chernobyl.<\/span><\/p>\n

A IA deve aprender com a hist\u00f3ria da seguran\u00e7a nuclear<\/span><\/h2>\n

Heidy Khlaaf, diretor de engenharia da empresa de consultoria em ciberseguran\u00e7a Rastro de Bits<\/a>utilizado para avaliar e verificar a seguran\u00e7a das centrais nucleares. <\/span>Recentemente, disse ao MIT<\/span><\/a> que as centrais nucleares requerem milhares de documentos que atestam a sua seguran\u00e7a, aprofundando as mais \u00ednfimas nuances de cada componente individual.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Depois de Chernobyl, a regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o nuclear tornou-se extremamente rigorosa. O planeamento, o licenciamento e a constru\u00e7\u00e3o de um reator nuclear podem demorar 10 anos ou mais, em parte porque o processo \u00e9 rigorosamente controlado em cada momento. Khlaaf observa que isto n\u00e3o tem nada a ver com lucros - a seguran\u00e7a nuclear nasce de um verdadeiro risco existencial.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Em contrapartida, as empresas de IA comunicam os seus modelos utilizando \"cart\u00f5es\" simples que, essencialmente, listam fun\u00e7\u00f5es.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Al\u00e9m disso, o funcionamento interno do modelo \u00e9 muitas vezes uma \"caixa negra\", o que significa que os processos de tomada de decis\u00e3o est\u00e3o em grande parte fechados a observadores externos.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Mesmo o ChatGPT, ao contr\u00e1rio do hom\u00f3nimo da OpenAI, \u00e9 uma caixa negra, e as empresas de IA j\u00e1 estabeleceram uma reputa\u00e7\u00e3o de serem <\/span>cautelosos quanto aos seus modelos e dados de treino.<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Imagine que os reactores nucleares eram uma \"caixa negra\" e que os seus criadores n\u00e3o diziam ao p\u00fablico como funcionavam?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

A an\u00e1lise dos riscos da IA tem de ser sistem\u00e1tica\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n

Para mitigar os riscos que os l\u00edderes de IA, como Altman, admitem prontamente, as empresas devem aprofundar as suas estrat\u00e9gias de rastreabilidade. Isto implica um controlo rigoroso desde o in\u00edcio do processo de desenvolvimento da IA.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Khlaaf diz: \"\u00c9 necess\u00e1rio ter uma forma sistem\u00e1tica de analisar os riscos. N\u00e3o se trata de um cen\u00e1rio em que se diz simplesmente: 'Oh, isto pode acontecer. Deixem-me escrever\".\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Atualmente, n\u00e3o existe um processo estabelecido para a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o dos riscos da IA, mas tem havido algumas tentativas de o criar.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Por exemplo, <\/span>A DeepMind publicou recentemente um blogue t\u00e9cnico<\/span><\/a> em colabora\u00e7\u00e3o com v\u00e1rias universidades, especificando que os modelos devem ser avaliados quanto a \"riscos extremos\" antes da forma\u00e7\u00e3o. O documento apresenta duas estrat\u00e9gias:<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Avaliar a extens\u00e3o das \"capacidades perigosas\" de um modelo que podem ser utilizadas para amea\u00e7ar a seguran\u00e7a, exercer influ\u00eancia ou escapar \u00e0 supervis\u00e3o humana.<\/span><\/li>\n
  2. Avaliar o grau de probabilidade de um modelo causar danos, por exemplo, se corre o risco de n\u00e3o se comportar como previsto.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Toby Shevlane, um dos investigadores do projeto, afirmou que \"as principais empresas de IA que est\u00e3o a fazer avan\u00e7ar a fronteira t\u00eam a responsabilidade de estar atentas aos problemas emergentes e de os detetar atempadamente para que possamos resolv\u00ea-los o mais rapidamente poss\u00edvel\".<\/span><\/p>\n

    Se a IA deve aprender com a seguran\u00e7a nuclear, ent\u00e3o a regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o precoce \u00e9 fundamental, mas a complac\u00eancia a longo prazo \u00e9 letal. Ningu\u00e9m sabe como seria uma vers\u00e3o IA de Chernobyl ou Fukushima, e ningu\u00e9m quer descobrir. <\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    O desenvolvimento da IA tem sido r\u00e1pido, o que significa que a regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o tem de ser acompanhada e a governa\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9, de certa forma, uma reflex\u00e3o tardia. Existem poucos processos formais para garantir a seguran\u00e7a da IA, e os investigadores dizem que cabe \u00e0 ind\u00fastria mudar isso. Muitos l\u00edderes e figuras do sector da IA compararam a IA \u00e0 energia nuclear. H\u00e1 muitas semelhan\u00e7as - a IA est\u00e1 a crescer rapidamente, representa um risco potencialmente existencial e \u00e9 complicada pelos assuntos externos, desta vez entre as superpot\u00eancias emergentes da IA, os EUA e a China. Passaram d\u00e9cadas at\u00e9 os engenheiros nucleares convencerem a comunidade cient\u00edfica em geral da seguran\u00e7a dos reactores nucleares.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1422,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[88],"tags":[93,91,92],"class_list":["post-1421","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ethics","tag-openai","tag-policy","tag-regulation"],"yoast_head":"\nThe AI industry should learn from nuclear safety, argue experts | DailyAI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"There are many parallels between AI and nuclear technology. 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