{"id":14657,"date":"2025-04-10T14:59:02","date_gmt":"2025-04-10T14:59:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/?p=14657"},"modified":"2026-10-25T14:50:36","modified_gmt":"2026-10-25T14:50:36","slug":"power-hungry-ai-will-devour-japan-sized-energy-supply-by-2030","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/it\/2025\/04\/power-hungry-ai-will-devour-japan-sized-energy-supply-by-2030\/","title":{"rendered":"Entro il 2030, l'intelligenza artificiale, avida di energia, consumer\u00e0 una quantit\u00e0 di risorse energetiche pari a quella del Giappone."},"content":{"rendered":"

L'intelligenza artificiale sta gi\u00e0 mettendo a dura prova le reti elettriche di tutto il mondo, ma secondo un nuovo rapporto, siamo solo all'inizio.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Entro il 2030, i data center per l'IA consumeranno quasi la stessa quantit\u00e0 di elettricit\u00e0 che consuma oggi l'intero Giappone, secondo l' ultime previsioni<\/a> dall'Agenzia Internazionale dell'Energia (AIE).<\/span><\/p>\n

Oggi i data center consumano gi\u00e0 circa 1,5% dell'elettricit\u00e0 mondiale<\/a> \u2013 si tratta di circa 415 terawattora all'anno. L'AIE prevede che questo valore raddoppier\u00e0, raggiungendo quasi 950 TWh entro il 2030, pari a quasi 3% di elettricit\u00e0 globale.<\/span><\/p>\n

Il vero consumatore \u00e8 l'hardware specializzato che gestisce i sistemi di intelligenza artificiale. La domanda di elettricit\u00e0 per questi \"server accelerati\" aumenter\u00e0 vertiginosamente di 30% ogni anno fino al 2030, mentre i server convenzionali cresceranno a un ritmo pi\u00f9 modesto di 9% all'anno.<\/span><\/p>\n

Alcuni data center gi\u00e0 in costruzione consumeranno tanta energia quanto 2 milioni di abitazioni medie, mentre altri, gi\u00e0 annunciati per il futuro, arriveranno a consumarne 5 milioni o pi\u00f9.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"IEA\"
Alcuni data center potrebbero consumare pi\u00f9 di 4 milioni di abitazioni. Fonte: IEA.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Una distribuzione molto disomogenea<\/b><\/h2>\n

Entro il 2030, i data center americani consumeranno circa 1.200 kilowattora (kWh) a persona, ovvero circa 10\u00b9\u2076 tonnellate di energia consumata da un'intera famiglia statunitense in un anno, e "un ordine di grandezza superiore a quello di qualsiasi altra regione del mondo", secondo l'IEA. <\/span>L'Africa, nel frattempo, raggiunger\u00e0 a malapena i 2 kWh pro capite.<\/span><\/p>\n

A livello regionale, alcune aree stanno gi\u00e0 risentendo della pressione. In Irlanda, i data center consumano ormai l'incredibile quantit\u00e0 di 20% dell'elettricit\u00e0 del paese. Sei stati americani destinano oltre 10% della loro energia ai data center, con la Virginia in testa con 25%.<\/span><\/p>\n

Riusciranno le energie pulite a tenere il passo?<\/b><\/h2>\n

Nonostante i timori che l'appetito dell'IA possa effettivamente sabotare gli obiettivi climatici, l'AIE ritiene che queste preoccupazioni siano "esagerate".\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Quasi la met\u00e0 dell'energia elettrica aggiuntiva necessaria per i data center entro il 2030 dovrebbe provenire da fonti rinnovabili, sebbene i combustibili fossili continueranno a svolgere un ruolo di primo piano.<\/span><\/p>\n

Il mix energetico varia notevolmente da regione a regione. In Cina, il carbone alimenta oggi quasi 701 tonnellate di data center. Negli Stati Uniti, il gas naturale \u00e8 la fonte energetica principale con 401 tonnellate, seguito dalle energie rinnovabili con 241 tonnellate.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"IEA\"
Le energie rinnovabili svolgeranno un ruolo fondamentale nello sviluppo dell'intelligenza artificiale. Fonte: IEA.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Guardando al futuro, piccoli reattori nucleari modulari (SMR)<\/a> potrebbe diventare fondamentale per soddisfare il fabbisogno energetico dell'intelligenza artificiale dopo il 2030.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aziende tecnologiche come OpenAI stanno gi\u00e0 pianificando di finanziare oltre 20 gigawatt di capacit\u00e0 SMR, segno che stanno pensando alla sicurezza energetica a lungo termine. Microsoft vuole persino far risorgere il centrale nucleare dismessa di Three Mile Island<\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Efficienza contro espansione<\/b><\/h2>\n

L'AIE ipotizza diversi possibili scenari futuri per il consumo energetico dell'intelligenza artificiale. <\/span>Nel loro scenario "Lift-Off", che presuppone un'adozione accelerata e diffusa dell'intelligenza artificiale, il consumo globale di elettricit\u00e0 dei data center potrebbe superare i 1.700 TWh entro il 2035, ovvero quasi 451.000 TWh in pi\u00f9 rispetto alla loro proiezione di base.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Decollo
Lo scenario "Decollo" dell'AIE prevede un consumo energetico massiccio. Fonte: AIE.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

In alternativa, il loro scenario "Alta efficienza" suggerisce che i miglioramenti al software, all'hardware e alle infrastrutture potrebbero ridurre il fabbisogno di elettricit\u00e0 di oltre 15%, pur mantenendo la stessa capacit\u00e0 e le stesse prestazioni dell'IA. <\/span>Se l'IA dovesse incontrare problemi o "ostacoli", il consumo energetico potrebbe comunque diminuire considerevolmente.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

La conclusione principale dell'AIE \u00e8 che il prossimo decennio metter\u00e0 alla prova il delicato equilibrio tra potenza ed efficienza energetica dell'intelligenza artificiale.<\/p>\n

La capacit\u00e0 dell'industria tecnologica di risolvere questo enigma potrebbe avere un impatto non solo sul futuro dell'intelligenza artificiale, ma anche sul suo ruolo nell'affrontare, anzich\u00e9 aggravare, la crisi climatica globale.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L'intelligenza artificiale sta gi\u00e0 mettendo a dura prova le reti elettriche di tutto il mondo, ma secondo un nuovo rapporto, siamo solo all'inizio. Entro il 2030, i data center dedicati all'IA consumeranno quasi la stessa quantit\u00e0 di elettricit\u00e0 che l'intero Giappone consuma oggi, secondo le ultime previsioni dell'Agenzia Internazionale dell'Energia (IEA). I data center odierni consumano gi\u00e0 circa 1,5% di elettricit\u00e0 mondiale, ovvero circa 415 terawattora all'anno. L'IEA prevede che questo valore raddoppier\u00e0, raggiungendo quasi 950 TWh entro il 2030, pari a quasi 3% di elettricit\u00e0 globale. Il vero consumatore \u00e8 l'hardware specializzato che gestisce i sistemi di IA.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15533,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[84],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14657","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-industry"],"yoast_head":"\nPower-hungry AI will devour Japan-sized energy supply by 2030 | DailyAI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/it\/2025\/04\/power-hungry-ai-will-devour-japan-sized-energy-supply-by-2030\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Power-hungry AI will devour Japan-sized energy supply by 2030 | DailyAI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"AI is already straining power grids around the world, but according to a new report, we\u2019re only just getting started.\u00a0 By 2030, AI data centers will devour almost as much electricity as the entire country of Japan consumes today, according to the latest forecasts from the International Energy Agency (IEA). Today’s data centers already consume approximately 1.5% of the world’s electricity \u2013 that’s roughly 415 terawatt hours every year. The IEA expects this to more than double to nearly 950 TWh by 2030, claiming almost 3% of global electricity. The specialized hardware running AI systems is the real consumer. 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