{"id":14657,"date":"2025-04-10T14:59:02","date_gmt":"2025-04-10T14:59:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/?p=14657"},"modified":"2026-10-25T14:50:36","modified_gmt":"2026-10-25T14:50:36","slug":"power-hungry-ai-will-devour-japan-sized-energy-supply-by-2030","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/es\/2025\/04\/power-hungry-ai-will-devour-japan-sized-energy-supply-by-2030\/","title":{"rendered":"La IA, insaciable de energ\u00eda, consumir\u00e1 un suministro energ\u00e9tico equivalente al de Jap\u00f3n para 2030."},"content":{"rendered":"

La inteligencia artificial ya est\u00e1 poniendo a prueba las redes el\u00e9ctricas de todo el mundo, pero seg\u00fan un nuevo informe, esto es solo el principio.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan el informe, para 2030, los centros de datos de IA consumir\u00e1n casi tanta electricidad como la que consume hoy en d\u00eda todo Jap\u00f3n. \u00faltimos pron\u00f3sticos<\/a> de la Agencia Internacional de Energ\u00eda (AIE).<\/span><\/p>\n

Los centros de datos actuales ya consumen aproximadamente 1,5% de la electricidad mundial<\/a> Eso equivale a unos 415 teravatios-hora al a\u00f1o. La AIE prev\u00e9 que esta cifra se duplique con creces, hasta alcanzar casi 950 TWh en 2030, lo que representa casi 3 % de la electricidad mundial.<\/span><\/p>\n

El hardware especializado que ejecuta los sistemas de IA es el verdadero consumidor. La demanda de electricidad para estos \"servidores acelerados\" aumentar\u00e1 en la asombrosa cifra de 30 % cada a\u00f1o hasta 2030, mientras que los servidores convencionales crecer\u00e1n a un ritmo m\u00e1s moderado de 9 % anuales.<\/span><\/p>\n

Algunos centros de datos que ya est\u00e1n en construcci\u00f3n consumir\u00e1n tanta energ\u00eda como 2 millones de hogares promedio, mientras que otros ya anunciados para el futuro consumir\u00e1n hasta 5 millones o m\u00e1s.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"IEA\"
Algunos centros de datos pueden consumir m\u00e1s de 4 millones de hogares. Fuente: IEA.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Una distribuci\u00f3n muy desigual<\/b><\/h2>\n

Para 2030, los centros de datos estadounidenses consumir\u00e1n alrededor de 1200 kilovatios-hora (kWh) por persona, lo que equivale aproximadamente a 10 % de lo que consume un hogar estadounidense completo en un a\u00f1o, y \"un orden de magnitud superior a cualquier otra regi\u00f3n del mundo\", seg\u00fan la AIE. <\/span>Mientras tanto, \u00c1frica apenas alcanzar\u00e1 los 2 kWh por persona.<\/span><\/p>\n

A nivel regional, algunas zonas ya est\u00e1n sintiendo la presi\u00f3n. En Irlanda, los centros de datos consumen actualmente la incre\u00edble cantidad de 20 % de la electricidad del pa\u00eds. Seis estados de EE. UU. destinan m\u00e1s de 10 % de su energ\u00eda a los centros de datos, con Virginia a la cabeza con 25 %.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00bfPodr\u00e1 la energ\u00eda limpia mantenerse al d\u00eda?<\/b><\/h2>\n

A pesar de los temores de que el auge de la IA pueda sabotear los objetivos clim\u00e1ticos, la AIE cree que estas preocupaciones son "exageradas".\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Casi la mitad de la electricidad adicional necesaria para los centros de datos hasta 2030 deber\u00eda provenir de fuentes renovables, aunque los combustibles f\u00f3siles seguir\u00e1n desempe\u00f1ando un papel fundamental.<\/span><\/p>\n

La matriz energ\u00e9tica var\u00eda dr\u00e1sticamente seg\u00fan la regi\u00f3n. En China, el carb\u00f3n alimenta actualmente cerca de 70 % de centros de datos. En Estados Unidos, el gas natural lidera con 40 %, seguido de las energ\u00edas renovables con 24 %.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"IEA\"
Las energ\u00edas renovables desempe\u00f1ar\u00e1n un papel fundamental en el desarrollo de la IA. Fuente: IEA.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

De cara al futuro, peque\u00f1os reactores nucleares modulares (SMR)<\/a> Podr\u00eda volverse vital para satisfacer el consumo de energ\u00eda de la IA despu\u00e9s de 2030.<\/span><\/p>\n

Empresas tecnol\u00f3gicas como OpenAI ya est\u00e1n planeando financiar m\u00e1s de 20 gigavatios de capacidad SMR, una se\u00f1al de que est\u00e1n pensando en la seguridad energ\u00e9tica a largo plazo. Microsoft incluso quiere resucitar el Central nuclear de Three Mile Island, ya fuera de servicio<\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Eficiencia frente a expansi\u00f3n<\/b><\/h2>\n

La AIE especula sobre varios posibles escenarios futuros para el consumo energ\u00e9tico de la IA. <\/span>En su escenario de \"despegue\", que supone una adopci\u00f3n acelerada y generalizada de la IA, el consumo el\u00e9ctrico de los centros de datos mundiales podr\u00eda superar los 1700 TWh para 2035, casi 45 % m\u00e1s que su proyecci\u00f3n base.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Despegue
El escenario de \u201cdespegamiento\u201d de la AIE prev\u00e9 un consumo energ\u00e9tico masivo. Fuente: AIE.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Como alternativa, su escenario de "alta eficiencia" sugiere que las mejoras en el software, el hardware y la infraestructura podr\u00edan reducir las necesidades de electricidad en m\u00e1s de 15%, manteniendo la misma capacidad y rendimiento de IA. <\/span>Sin embargo, si la IA encuentra problemas o "obst\u00e1culos", el consumo de energ\u00eda podr\u00eda ser considerablemente menor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

La principal conclusi\u00f3n de la AIE es que la pr\u00f3xima d\u00e9cada pondr\u00e1 a prueba el delicado equilibrio de la IA entre potencia y eficiencia energ\u00e9tica.<\/p>\n

La capacidad del sector tecnol\u00f3gico para resolver este enigma podr\u00eda tener un impacto no solo en el futuro de la IA, sino tambi\u00e9n en su papel a la hora de abordar, en lugar de agravar, la crisis clim\u00e1tica mundial.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AI is already straining power grids around the world, but according to a new report, we\u2019re only just getting started.\u00a0 By 2030, AI data centers will devour almost as much electricity as the entire country of Japan consumes today, according to the latest forecasts from the International Energy Agency (IEA). Today’s data centers already consume approximately 1.5% of the world’s electricity \u2013 that’s roughly 415 terawatt hours every year. The IEA expects this to more than double to nearly 950 TWh by 2030, claiming almost 3% of global electricity. The specialized hardware running AI systems is the real consumer. Electricity<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15533,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[84],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14657","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-industry"],"yoast_head":"\nPower-hungry AI will devour Japan-sized energy supply by 2030 | DailyAI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/es\/2025\/04\/power-hungry-ai-will-devour-japan-sized-energy-supply-by-2030\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Power-hungry AI will devour Japan-sized energy supply by 2030 | DailyAI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"AI is already straining power grids around the world, but according to a new report, we\u2019re only just getting started.\u00a0 By 2030, AI data centers will devour almost as much electricity as the entire country of Japan consumes today, according to the latest forecasts from the International Energy Agency (IEA). Today’s data centers already consume approximately 1.5% of the world’s electricity \u2013 that’s roughly 415 terawatt hours every year. The IEA expects this to more than double to nearly 950 TWh by 2030, claiming almost 3% of global electricity. The specialized hardware running AI systems is the real consumer. 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