{"id":6328,"date":"2023-10-10T20:06:37","date_gmt":"2023-10-10T20:06:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/?p=6328"},"modified":"2023-10-10T21:42:57","modified_gmt":"2023-10-10T21:42:57","slug":"ai-could-consume-the-same-energy-as-the-netherlands-by-2027","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/da\/2023\/10\/ai-could-consume-the-same-energy-as-the-netherlands-by-2027\/","title":{"rendered":"AI kan forbruge lige s\u00e5 meget energi som Holland i 2027"},"content":{"rendered":"

En ny unders\u00f8gelse forudsiger, at AI-industriens energiforbrug kan blive lige s\u00e5 stort som Hollands i 2027.\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

Men hvis v\u00e6ksten i AI aftager, kan dens milj\u00f8p\u00e5virkning blive \"mindre end frygtet\", if\u00f8lge forskningen.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Alex De Vries, en ph.d.-kandidat ved VU Amsterdam School of Business and Economics, gennemf\u00f8rte <\/span>Unders\u00f8gelsen<\/span><\/a>. Hans fremskrivninger foruds\u00e6tter visse forhold, som f.eks. den nuv\u00e6rende AI-v\u00e6kstrate og chiptilg\u00e6ngelighed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Da Nvidia leverer omkring 95% af sektorens n\u00f8dvendige AI-hardware, brugte De Vries data om Nvidia-chips str\u00f8mforbrug som benchmarks.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ved at vurdere Nvidias forventede leverancer frem til 2027 anslog han AI's energiforbrug til at v\u00e6re mellem 85-134 terawatt-timer (TWh) om \u00e5ret. N\u00e5r det er p\u00e5 sit h\u00f8jeste, svarer dette forbrug til en lille nations.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mange, inklusive unders\u00f8gelsens forfatter, anser disse resultater for at v\u00e6re spekulative, men <\/span>beviser fra Microsoft<\/span><\/a> i \u00e5r angav det omfattende vandforbrug i forbindelse med deres datacentre. A <\/span>Unders\u00f8gelse fra 2019 viste<\/span><\/a> at tr\u00e6ning af nogle neurale netv\u00e6rk kan udlede CO2 svarende til fem biler i hele deres levetid.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Microsofts og Googles stigende vandforbrug kan h\u00e6nge sammen med, at de k\u00f8rer ressourcekr\u00e6vende AI-relaterede arbejdsopgaver, hvilket \u00f8ger trov\u00e6rdigheden af De Vries' resultater.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Vi taler om st\u00f8rrelsen p\u00e5 et land som Holland, n\u00e5r det g\u00e6lder elforbrug. Vi taler om en halv procent af vores samlede globale elforbrug.\" <\/span>sagde han til BBC News.<\/span><\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Dette kommer oven i den str\u00f8m, der forbruges af datacentre, som allerede menes at overstige 1% af det globale elforbrug, if\u00f8lge Det Internationale Energiagentur (IEA)<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

De Vries understreger yderligere unders\u00f8gelsens konsekvenser ved at sige, at AI kun b\u00f8r bruges, \"hvor der virkelig er brug for det\".\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Den stigende eftersp\u00f8rgsel efter AI-centrerede computere betyder et stigende behov for energi og vand, og selv om Nvidia fors\u00f8ger at reducere energiforbruget i sine chips, er der gr\u00e6nser for, hvor langt ned man kan g\u00e5 med den nuv\u00e6rende teknologi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Danny Quinn fra DataVita <\/span>fremh\u00e6vede forskellen i energiforbrug mellem konventionelle og AI-serverracks og sagde: \"Et standardrack fyldt med normalt udstyr bruger ca. 4 kWh str\u00f8m, hvilket svarer til et familiehus. Hvorimod et AI-kit rack vil v\u00e6re ca. 20 gange s\u00e5 stort, alts\u00e5 ca. 8 kWh str\u00f8m.\"<\/span><\/p>\n

Vil generativ AI 'k\u00f8le ned' i 2024?<\/span><\/h2>\n

Stigende energibehov og udfordringer med at tjene penge f\u00e5r nogle til at forudsige, at generativ AI vil st\u00e5 over for et realitetstjek i 2024.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ben Wood, chefanalytiker hos CCS Insight, understregede, at selvom AI lover store samfundsm\u00e6ssige og \u00f8konomiske konsekvenser, kan den \"overhypede\" fort\u00e6lling om generativ AI snart st\u00e5 over for udfordringer, is\u00e6r for mindre udviklere.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Bare omkostningerne ved at implementere og opretholde generativ AI er enorme,\" <\/span>Wood sagde til CNBC<\/span><\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Og det er fint nok, at de store virksomheder g\u00f8r det. Men for mange organisationer, mange udviklere, vil det bare blive for dyrt.\"<\/span><\/p>\n

Wood bem\u00e6rker ogs\u00e5, at Nvidias dominans over AI-hardwareindustrien udg\u00f8r potentielle flaskehalse.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

St\u00f8rre virksomheder som Amazon, Google og Meta arbejder nu p\u00e5 AI-specifikke chips til at h\u00e5ndtere disse enorme beregningsbehov, hvilket er f\u00e6nomenalt dyrt.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Hvis AI virkelig skal opfylde de futuristiske visioner, skal vi hente mere energi og vand et eller andet sted fra. Men hvis menneskeheden snart kan l\u00f8se problemerne med kernefusion og kvantecomputere, er det en anden historie...<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

En ny unders\u00f8gelse forudsiger, at AI-industriens energiforbrug kan blive lige s\u00e5 stort som Hollands i 2027. Men hvis v\u00e6ksten i AI aftager, kan dens milj\u00f8p\u00e5virkning blive \"mindre end frygtet\", if\u00f8lge unders\u00f8gelsen. Alex De Vries, ph.d.-kandidat ved VU Amsterdam School of Business and Economics, har gennemf\u00f8rt unders\u00f8gelsen. Hans fremskrivninger foruds\u00e6tter visse forhold, s\u00e5som den nuv\u00e6rende AI-v\u00e6kstrate og chiptilg\u00e6ngelighed. Da Nvidia leverer ca. 95% af sektorens n\u00f8dvendige AI-hardware, brugte De Vries data om str\u00f8mforbrug p\u00e5 Nvidia-chips som benchmarks. Ved at vurdere Nvidias forventede leverancer af<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6329,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[84],"tags":[262,427,121],"class_list":["post-6328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-industry","tag-energy-consumption","tag-energy-usage","tag-microsoft"],"yoast_head":"\nAI could consume equivalent energy as the Netherlands by 2027 | DailyAI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A new study forecasts that the energy consumption of the AI industry might equal that of the Netherlands by 2027.\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/da\/2023\/10\/ai-could-consume-the-same-energy-as-the-netherlands-by-2027\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" 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