{"id":6035,"date":"2023-09-30T13:30:57","date_gmt":"2023-09-30T13:30:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/?p=6035"},"modified":"2023-09-30T13:43:22","modified_gmt":"2023-09-30T13:43:22","slug":"ai-revolutionizes-earthquake-and-aftershock-forecasting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/da\/2023\/09\/ai-revolutionizes-earthquake-and-aftershock-forecasting\/","title":{"rendered":"AI revolutionerer forudsigelse af jordsk\u00e6lv og eftersk\u00e6lv"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Maskinl\u00e6ring (ML) baner vejen for banebrydende forbedringer i forudsigelsen af jordsk\u00e6lv, herunder b\u00e5de prim\u00e6re sk\u00e6lv og eftersk\u00e6lv.\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tre nye artikler har udnyttet deep learning-modeller, som if\u00f8lge de forel\u00f8bige resultater overg\u00e5r de konventionelle statistiske metoder til at forudsige jordsk\u00e6lv.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Selvom disse unders\u00f8gelser er relativt specifikke - prim\u00e6rt forudsigelse af eftersk\u00e6lv efter en st\u00f8rre seismisk begivenhed - betyder de et spring i forudsigelsen af jordsk\u00e6lv.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Morgan Page, seismolog fra US Geological Survey (USGS) i Pasadena, Californien, udtrykte sin begejstring over fremskridtene og sagde: \"Jeg er virkelig begejstret for, at det endelig sker.\"<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Det er dog vigtigt at afmystificere, hvad jordsk\u00e6lvsprognoser indeb\u00e6rer. De handler ikke om at udpege en seismisk begivenheds n\u00f8jagtige tid eller sted. Den gamle id\u00e9 om at forudsige et jordsk\u00e6lvs styrke, sted og tid - svarende til at sige \"n\u00e6ste s\u00f8ndag kl. 8 om morgenen\" - er ikke realistisk. - er ikke realistisk.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ved hj\u00e6lp af statistiske analyser er seismologerne nu bedre rustet til at m\u00e5le bredere m\u00f8nstre, herunder at estimere potentielle eftersk\u00e6lv.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Deep learning trives med massive datas\u00e6t og forudsiger efterf\u00f8lgende jordsk\u00e6lv baseret p\u00e5 historiske jordsk\u00e6lvsdata. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Det har dog ikke v\u00e6ret nogen nem rejse, da store jordsk\u00e6lv er relativt sj\u00e6ldne, og dataene er sparsomme.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Om artiklerne<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tre <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/d41586-023-02934-6\">Nylige unders\u00f8gelser<\/a> <\/span>fremh\u00e6ver AI's potentiale til at forudsige jordsk\u00e6lv:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Geofysiker Kelian Dascher-Cousineau og et hold fra UC Berkeley:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Designede en model, der blev testet p\u00e5 det sydlige Californiens jordsk\u00e6lv mellem 2008 og 2021. Deres model overgik den traditionelle i at forudsige antallet og omfanget af sk\u00e6lv i l\u00f8bet af to uger.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Statistiker Samuel Stockman fra University of Bristol<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: Da Stockmans metode blev tr\u00e6net p\u00e5 jordsk\u00e6lvsdata fra det centrale Italien i 2016-17, viste den en overlegen pr\u00e6station i forhold til konventionelle metoder.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Fysikeren Yohai Bar-Sinai og et hold fra Tel Aviv University: <\/b>D<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bar-Sinai har udviklet en anden neuronal netv\u00e6rksmodel, som klarede sig bedre end den konventionelle model, da den blev testet p\u00e5 tre \u00e5rtiers japanske jordsk\u00e6lvsdata. Bar-Sinai mener, at dette kan f\u00f8re til en dybere forst\u00e5else af jordsk\u00e6lvsmekanik.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">USGS og lignende enheder vil snart indf\u00f8re maskinl\u00e6ringsmodeller ved siden af de traditionelle.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Men uanset forudsigelsens n\u00f8jagtighed er det stadig vigtigt at forberede sig p\u00e5 jordsk\u00e6lv og sikre, at bygninger lever op til sikkerhedsstandarder, og at n\u00f8dhj\u00e6lpskasser altid er klar.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Fremskridt inden for AI underst\u00f8tter milj\u00f8- og bevaringsstrategier, herunder beskyttelse af naturen. <a href=\"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/da\/2023\/09\/ai-and-machine-learning-join-the-fight-to-protect-the-amazon\/\">Amazonas' regnskov<\/a> og forbedre <a href=\"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/da\/2023\/08\/researchers-harness-satellite-data-to-create-accurate-tsunami-warning-system\/\">Tsunami-advarselssystemer<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Maskinl\u00e6ring (ML) baner vejen for banebrydende forbedringer af jordsk\u00e6lvsprognoser, herunder b\u00e5de prim\u00e6re jordsk\u00e6lv og eftersk\u00e6lv.  Tre nye artikler har udnyttet deep learning-modeller, som if\u00f8lge de forel\u00f8bige resultater overg\u00e5r de konventionelle statistiske metoder til at forudsige jordsk\u00e6lv.  Selv om disse unders\u00f8gelser er relativt specifikke - prim\u00e6rt forudsigelse af eftersk\u00e6lv efter en st\u00f8rre seismisk begivenhed - betyder de et spring i forudsigelsen af jordsk\u00e6lv.  Morgan Page, seismolog fra US Geological Survey (USGS) i Pasadena, Californien, udtrykte sin begejstring over fremskridtene og sagde: \"Jeg er virkelig begejstret over, at det endelig sker.\" Det er dog vigtigt at afmystificere, hvad jordsk\u00e6lvsprognoser indeb\u00e6rer.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6036,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[88],"tags":[412,306,263],"class_list":["post-6035","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ethics","tag-earthquakes","tag-environment","tag-sustainability"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>AI revolutionizes earthquake and aftershock forecasting | DailyAI<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Machine learning (ML) is beginning to pave the way for groundbreaking improvements in earthquake forecasting, including both primary shockwaves and aftershocks.\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/da\/2023\/09\/ai-revolutionizes-earthquake-and-aftershock-forecasting\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"da_DK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"AI revolutionizes earthquake and aftershock forecasting | DailyAI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Machine learning (ML) is beginning to pave the way for groundbreaking improvements in earthquake forecasting, including both primary shockwaves and aftershocks.\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/da\/2023\/09\/ai-revolutionizes-earthquake-and-aftershock-forecasting\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"DailyAI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-09-30T13:30:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-09-30T13:43:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/dailyai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/shutterstock_2261440083.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"667\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Sam Jeans\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@DailyAIOfficial\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@DailyAIOfficial\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Skrevet af\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Sam Jeans\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimeret l\u00e6setid\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutter\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/dailyai.com\\\/2023\\\/09\\\/ai-revolutionizes-earthquake-and-aftershock-forecasting\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/dailyai.com\\\/2023\\\/09\\\/ai-revolutionizes-earthquake-and-aftershock-forecasting\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Sam Jeans\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/dailyai.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/711e81f945549438e8bbc579efdeb3c9\"},\"headline\":\"AI revolutionizes earthquake and aftershock forecasting\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-09-30T13:30:57+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-09-30T13:43:22+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/dailyai.com\\\/2023\\\/09\\\/ai-revolutionizes-earthquake-and-aftershock-forecasting\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":373,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/dailyai.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/dailyai.com\\\/2023\\\/09\\\/ai-revolutionizes-earthquake-and-aftershock-forecasting\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/dailyai.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/09\\\/shutterstock_2261440083.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Earthquakes\",\"environment\",\"Sustainability\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Ethics &amp; 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